Who am I?
Christian. Skeptic. Ponderer. Sold on Western Civilization. Background in engineering and software. Rational, but not rationalist.
I'm a Hugh-inspired, long-tail blogger.
I Value
Informs my values.
News
Blog Search
Posts On This Page:
Archives
- October 2004
- November 2004
- December 2004
- January 2005
- February 2005
- March 2005
- April 2005
- May 2005
- June 2005
- July 2005
- August 2005
- September 2005
- October 2005
- November 2005
- December 2005
- January 2006
- February 2006
- March 2006
- April 2006
- May 2006
- June 2006
- July 2006
- August 2006
- September 2006
- October 2006
- November 2006
- December 2006
- January 2007
- February 2007
- March 2007
- April 2007
- May 2007
- June 2007
- July 2007
- August 2007
- September 2007
- October 2007
- November 2007
- January 2008
- February 2008
- March 2008
- April 2008
- July 2008
- August 2008
- September 2008
- October 2008
- November 2008
- December 2008
- February 2009
- June 2009
- July 2009
- October 2009
- December 2009
- January 2010
- February 2010
- April 2010
- May 2010
- July 2010
- February 2011
- April 2011
- May 2011
- February 2013
Look closer. Think harder. Choose the sound argument over the clever one.
Sunday, October 08, 2006
Update on the Federal Budget Deficit
The Mark Foley micro-scandal can't change the fact that the American economy is going great guns. The 2006 budget deficit figures were just released, and the deficit is not only getting better, it is now relatively small by historical standards.
Why is the deficit down?
The federal budget deficit estimate for the fiscal year just completed has dropped to $250 billion, congressional estimators said Friday, as the economy continued to fuel impressive tax revenues.
...
The improving deficit picture - Bush predicted a $423 billion deficit in his February budget - has been driven by better-than-expected tax receipts, especially from corporate profits, CBO said.
So cutting taxes to stimulate the economy really does work.
Perspective:
The standard technique is to cite the absolute size of the deficit to make it sound much bigger than it really is. But what you need to know is the size of the deficit relative to the GDP, and that number is down to 1.9%.
In summary...
Let's see, GDP growth is strong, productivity is way up, unemployment is low, family incomes are rising, inflation is down, the stock market is up, and the federal deficit is down. Yet polls show that we are about to put more Democrats into both the House and the Senate. That should fix all of these economic problems, real quick.
Hat-tip: Instapundit
Comments:
(Please keep in mind that each commenter's opinions are only his/her own.)
Supply side theory provides a testable hypothesis: lower taxes stimulate growth, which causes higher tax receipts. We've had higher tax receipts without seeing commensurate GDP growth. It's good receipts are up, but it doesn't have anything to do with supply-side economics.
Thanks for taking time to read and comment. My knowledge of economics is pretty shallow. Please forgive me.
First, do you think I misread the original article, or are you also taking issue with it?
With GDP dwarfing the federal budget, would small GDP changes cause much larger changes in revenue? (Per Back Talk: "GDP growth is strong...")
To what hypothesis does this data conform?
First, do you think I misread the original article, or are you also taking issue with it?
With GDP dwarfing the federal budget, would small GDP changes cause much larger changes in revenue? (Per Back Talk: "GDP growth is strong...")
To what hypothesis does this data conform?
Post a Comment
<< Home